Roberto Casarin 
 

Dept. of Economics 

University of Brescia 

Via San Faustino, 74/b 

25122 Brescia, Italy 

Phone:  

+39 030.298.88.09  

Fax:  

+39 030.298.88.37  

E-mail:  

casarin@eco.unibs.it 

 

 

Current Position    Education    Previous Positions    Research Interests    Publications    Teaching    Consulting    Links   

Current Position
  2006-         

Assistant Professor of Econometrics, University of Brescia

     
Other Affiliations:  Institute of Mathematical Statistics (IMS) and GRETA Assoc. at University of Venice.
Education
  2003-2007 

Ph.D. in Mathematics, CEREMADE, Dept. of Mathematics, University Paris Dauphine,
Thesis: "Simulation Methods for Bayesian Inference on Latent Variables Models".
Supervisor:  Christian P. Robert
Reviewers: M. F. J. Steel and M. Lubrano.
Committee: O. Cappe, G. Celeux, J.-M. Marin and J. Rousseau

  2000-2003 

Ph.D. in Economics, SSE, University of Venice,

 

Thesis: "Simulation Methods for Nonlinear and Non-Gaussian Models in Finance".
Supervisor: Monica Billio
Reviewers: C. P. Robert and P. Müller.
Committee: G. Calzolari, T. Jappelli and L. Lambertini.
Received the Italian Economics Society (SIE) Award as best PhD Thesis 2004.

  2001-2002 

M.Sc. in Applied Mathematics,  DEA MASE, University Paris Dauphine - ENSAE.  
Thesis: "Credit risk modelling in continuous and discrete time",
Supervised by:  Christian Gourieroux.

  1994-1998 

Graduate degree in Economics (Quantitative Finance), University of Venice.  
Thesis:  "Econometric Analysis of the European Investment Styles",
Supervised by: Domenico Sartore.

     
Futher Education 
  2009 

33rd Finnish Summer School of Probability Theory, University of Tampere.

  2002 

Summer School of Mathematics, CIRM, University of Marseille.

  2000 

Summer School of Mathematics, SMI, University of Perugia.


Previous Positions and Visiting
  2008-2009 

Visiting (6 months) at Dept. of Mathematics, University of Bristol.

  2008 

Visiting (1 month) at Dept. of Mathematics, University Paris Sud.

  2005-2006 

Research Assistant (18 months), University of Brescia.

  2004-2004 

Research Assistant (2 months), University of Padova.

  2002-2003 

Visiting (12 months) at CEREMADE, University Paris Dauphine.

  1999-2000 

Research Assistant (12 months), GRETA Ass., University of Venice.

  1998-1999 

Military Service, DB Designe by the Investigating Magistrate Office (GIP), Padova.  

  1998 

Stage (2 months), CDC Asset Management, Paris.


Fellowships and Grants
  2008 

GRETA Assoc. fellowship, project "Bank Deposits Duration Models", 2009.

  2008 

Research Grant, French National Research Council (ANR), project Adapt'MC, CEREMADE, University Paris Dauphine.

  2007 

Research Grant, French National Research Council (ANR), project SELECT, INRIA FUTURS, University Paris-Sud.

  2004-2006 

Research Fellowship, project "Business Cycle and Financial Markets", University of Brescia.

  2004 

Research Fellowship, project "Strategic Asset Allocation", University of Padova.

  2003-2004 

Research Grant, Italian National Research Council (CNR), project "Contagion and interdependence between financial markets", University of Venice.

  2000-2003 

PhD scholarship awarded from University of Venice.

  1999-2000 

Research Fellowship, GRETA Ass., University of Venice.


Research Interests
     

Financial and Computational Econometrics. In particular:
   -  Bayesian Inference, Monte Carlo Methods, Stochastic Processes;
   -  Portfolio Theory, Option Pricing, Risk Models;
   -  Mutual Funds, Hedge Funds, Performance Evaluation and Attribution.


Publications
Journals
  [2009] 

Billio, M. and Casarin, R., (2009), Identifying Business Cycle Turning Points with Sequential Monte Carlo: An Online and Real-Time Application to the Euro Area, Journal of Forecasting, forthcoming.

  [2009] 

Casarin, R. and Marin, J.-M., (2009), Online data processing: Comparison of Bayesian regularized particle filters, Electronic Journal of Statistics, 3, 239-258.

  [2009] 

Marin, J.-M., Casarin, R. and Robert, C. P., (2009), A discussion on: Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models by using integrated nested Laplace approximations by Rue, H. Martino, S. and Chopin, N., Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 71 (2), 360-362.

  [2009] 

Casarin, R. and Robert, C. P., (2009), A discussion on: Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models by using integrated nested Laplace approximations by Rue, H. Martino, S. and Chopin, N., Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 71 (2), 359-360.

  [2008] 

Casarin, R., Pelizzon, L. and Piva, A., (2008), Italian Equity Funds: Efficiency and Performance Persistence, ICFAI Journal of Financial Economics, 6 (1), 7-28.

  [2007] 

Billio, M. and Casarin, R., (2007), Stochastic Optimization for Allocation Problems with Shortfall Risk Constraint, Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 23, 247-271.

  [2005] 

Casarin, R., Lazzarin, M., Pelizzon, L. and Sartore, D., (2005), Relative Benchmark Rating and Persistence Analysis: Evidence from Italian Equity Funds, The European Journal of Finance, 11 (4), 297-308.

  [2005] 

Casarin, R. (2005), Simulation Methods for Nonlinear and Non-Gaussian Models in Finance, Premio SIE, Rivista Italiana degli Economisti, 2, 341-345.

Book Chapters
  [2008] 

Casarin, R., (2008), Solution Manual for Selected Problems, The Bayesian Choice, 2nd Ed. and Paperback Ed., C. P. Robert, 2006, Springer Verlag.

  [2007] 

Billio, M., Casarin, R. and Sartore, D., (2007), Bayesian inference in dynamic models with latent factors, in Mazzi, G. L. and Savio, G., Growth and Cycle in the Eurozone, 25-44, Palgrave MacMillan, 2007.

  [2005] 

Casarin, R., Joutard, C. and Tayeb, A., (2005), Solution Manual for Selected Problems, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, 2nd Edition, Robert, C. P. and Casella, G., 2005, Springer Verlag.

  [2000] 

Billio, M., Casarin, R., Mehu, C. and Sartore, D., (2000), Investment Styles in the European Equity Market, in C. Dunis, Advances in Quantitative Asset Management, Kluwer Academic Press, Dordrecht, 2000.

Proceedings
  [2007] 

Casarin, R. and Sartore, D., (2007), Matrix-state particle filters for Wishart stochastic volatility processes, in Proceedings SIS, 2007 Intermediate Conference, Risk and Prediction, 399-409, CLEUP Padova.

  [2007] 

Amisano, G. and Casarin, R., (2007), Particle filters for Markov Switching Stochastic Correlation Models, in Proceedings SIS, 2007 Intermediate Conference, Risk and Prediction, 305-316, CLEUP Padova.

  [2003] 

Casarin, R., (2003), Bayesian Inference for Mixture of Stable Distributions, in Atti del Convegno Modelli Complessi e Metodi Computazionali Intensivi per la Stima e la Previsione, 4-6 Semptember 2003, Statistics Department, University of Venice.

  [2003] 

Billio, M. and Casarin, R., (2003), Extreme Returns in a Shortfall Risk Framework, in Atti della giornata di studio Metodi Numerici per la Finanza, 30 May 2003, Applied Mathematics Department, University of Venice.

  [2003] 

Casarin, R., Pelizzon, L. and Piva, A., (2003), Italian Equity Funds: Efficiency and Performance Persistence, in Atti della giornata di studio Metodi Numerici per la Finanza, 30 May 2003, Applied Mathematics Department, University of Venice.

  [2002] 

Casarin, R. and Gobbo, M., (2002), Metodi Monte Carlo per la Valutazione di Opzioni Finanziarie, in Atti della Scuola Estiva in Finanza Quantitativa, 2002, Applied Mathematics Department, University of Venice.

Working Papers
  [2007] 

Casarin, R. and Marin, J.-M., (2007), Online data processing: Comparison of Bayesian regularized particle filters, Research Report N. 6153, INRIA.

  [2006] 

Billio, M. and Casarin, R., (2006), Stochastic Optimization for Allocation Problems with Shortfall Risk Constraint, Working Paper, University of Venice.

  [2006] 

Casarin, R., Trecroci C., (2006), Business Cycle and Stock Market Volatility: A Particle Filter Approach, Cahier du CEREMADE N. 0610, University Paris Dauphine.

  [2005] 

Casarin, R. (2005), Stochastic Processes in Credit Risk Modelling, Discussion Paper N.0505, University of Brescia.

  [2004] 

Casarin, R., (2004), Bayesian Monte Carlo Filtering for Stochastic Volatility Models, Cahier du CEREMADE N. 0415, University Paris Dauphine.

  [2004] 

Casarin, R., (2004), Bayesian Inference for Generalised Markov Switching Stochastic Volatility Models, Cahier du CEREMADE N. 0414, University Paris Dauphine. Presented at the 4th International Workshop on Objective Bayesian Methodology, CNRS, Aussois, 15-20 June 2003. It received the Springer's award as best poster session.

  [2004] 

Casarin, R., (2004),Bayesian Inference for Mixture of Stable Distributions, Cahier du CEREMADE N. 0428, University Paris Dauphine. Presented at Young Statistician Meeting, Cambridge 14-15 April 2003.

  [2004] 

Bresolin, F. and Casarin, R., (2004), Investimenti e ciclo economico in Veneto, costruzione di indicatori di previsione e verifica della loro validità, Quaderno di Ricerca N. 3, Centro Studi C.C.I.A.A. del Veneto, 2004.

  [2003] 

Billio, M., Casarin, R. and Sartore, D., (2003), Bayesian inference in dynamic models with latent factors, Working Paper, EUROSTAT.

  [2002] 

Billio, M., Casarin, R. and Toniolo, G., (2002), Extreme Returns in a Shortfall Risk Framework, Working Paper GRETA N. 0204, Venice.

  [2002] 

Casarin, R., Lazzarin, M. and Sartore, D., (2002), Performance, Style and Persistence of Italian Equity Funds, Working Paper GRETA N. 0203, Venice.

  [2002] 

Casarin, R. and Gobbo, M., (2002), Metodi Monte Carlo per la Valutazione di Opzioni Finanziarie, Working Paper GRETA N. 0205, Venice.

  [2001] 

Casarin, R. and Guderzo, P., (2001), Un Modello Econometrico Mensile per la Previsione dell'Indice COMIT nel Mercato Azionario Italiano, Working Paper GRETA N. 0107, Venice.

  [2000] 

Casarin, R., Pelizzon, L. and Piva, A., (2000), Performances and Performance Persistence of Italian Equity Funds, Working Paper GRETA N. 0006, Venice.

  [1999] 

Billio, M., Casarin, R., Mehu, C. and Sartore, D., (1999), Gli Stili di Investimento nel Mercato Azionario Europeo, Working Paper GRETA N. 9908, Venice.


Referring Activity
     

Journal of the American Statistical Association, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, IEEE Signal Processing Letters, Journal of Economics Dynamics and Control, European Journal of Finance, Research in Economics.


Teaching
Graduate and Post-Graduate Courses
     

"Statistics for Linguistic", Ph.D. in Computational Linguistic, University of Venice, 2009.
"Financial Econometrics", University of Brescia, 2009.
"Problems in Financial Econometrics", University of Brescia, 2009.
"Applied Econometrics I-II", University of Brescia, 2010.
"Problems in Applied Econometrics I-II", University of Brescia, 2010.
"Applied Econometrics", University of Brescia, 2009.
"Problems in Applied Econometrics", University of Brescia, 2009.
"Currency Risk and Capital Markets", University of Brescia, 2008, 2009.
"Finance of Insurance and Social Security", University of Brescia, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009.
"Numerical Methods in Econometrics and Finance, FSE", University of Brescia, 2007.
"Forecasting Methods I", University of Venice, 2006, 2007.
"Stochastic Filtering", University of Venice, 2006, 2008.
"Introduction to Stochastic Calculus", M.Sc. in Economics and Finance, Venice International University, 2004, 2005, 2006.
"Stochastic Volatility Models", University of Venice, 2006.
"Simulation Methods in Econometrics", University of Venice, 2005.
"Simulation Methods in Bayesian Inference", University of Venice, 2003.
"Monte Carlo Simulation Methods", University of Venice, 2002.

Training Courses
     

"Multivariate Stochastic Process Simulation Methods", NEXTRA, Milan, 2002.
"Performance Evaluation and Attribution", Arthur Andersen MBA, Milan, 2001.
"Stochastic Process Simulation Methods", Arthur Andersen MBA, Milan, 2001.
"Monte Carlo Simulation Methods", Arthur Andersen MBA, Milan, 2000.
"Portfolio Theory and Asset Allocation", Arthur Andersen MBA, Milan, 2000.


Consulting Activities
     

NEXTRA, Unicredit, Arthur Andersen MBA, Eurostat, Unioncamere del Veneto, UBI Banca, IntesaSanPaolo.


Links
Laboratories and related links
     

GRETA Ass., CEREMADE, University Paris Dauphine, CREST, Paris INSEE, CIRM, University of Marseille, Luminy, SMI, University of Perugia, Statistical Laboratory at the University of Cambridge, MCMC Preprint Service, Bayesian Statistics Personal Web Pages.

Software Archives
     

GAUSS, Numerical Recepies in C/C++.

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